Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | +11.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.5% | 88.5% | +11.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +8 (64-56). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Hymes * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Downey * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| O.D. Anosike * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 38 | - |
| Owen Wignot * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Walters * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Rob Poole | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Hopper | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakim Sanders * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 35 | - |
| Desmond Wade * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Derek Needham * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Maurice Barrow * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Olander * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Colin Nickerson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Keith Matthews | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Sean Crawford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Gary Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter