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2012-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% - โœ—
Margin 32.6% 67.4% +4.0 โœ— (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 41.0% 59.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - โœ—

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Drew Crawford * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 13 20 -
Dave Sobolewski * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 14 18 -
John Shurna * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 24 28 -
Reggie Hearn * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 20 21 -
Alex Marcotullio * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 2 8 -
Davide Curletti 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 1 8 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Richardson * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 3 9 15 -
B. Paul * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 22 28 -
M. Leonard * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 2 3 21 29 -
J. Bertrand * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 12 17 -
T. Abrams * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 8 0 0 4 6 12 -
S. Maniscalco 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Henry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter