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2012-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 13.5% 86.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% -
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Crawford * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 13 20 -
D. Sobolewski * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 14 18 -
J. Shurna * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 24 28 -
R. Hearn * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 20 21 -
A. Marcotullio * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 2 8 -
D. Curletti 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 1 8 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Richardson * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 3 9 15 -
B. Paul * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 22 28 -
M. Leonard * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 2 3 21 29 -
J. Bertrand * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 12 17 -
T. Abrams * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 8 0 0 4 6 12 -
S. Maniscalco 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Henry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter