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2012-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maalik Wayns * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 0 3 18 26 -
Dominic Cheek * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 13 14 -
JayVaughn Pinkston * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 10 16 -
Mouphtaou Yarou * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 2 0 3 1 12 30 -
James Bell * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 10 14 -
Tyrone Johnson 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 2 2 3 -
Maurice Sutton 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 8 -
Markus Kennedy 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Darrun Hilliard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ash Yacoubou 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Travon Woodall * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 0 6 29 36 -
Ashton Gibbs * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 25 26 -
Talib Zanna * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 0 4 15 -
Nasir Robinson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 4 8 -
Lamar Patterson * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 8 11 -
Dante Taylor 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 0 9 17 -
Cameron Wright 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 4 0 0 0 6 -
J.J. Moore 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
John Johnson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter