Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +10 (64-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Christian | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Bartelstein | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Corey Person | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zack Novak * | 40 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Stu Douglass * | 39 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Trey Burke * | 39 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 32 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Blake McLimans | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Ianni | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Austin Thornton * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Wood | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Travis Trice | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter