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2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers UT Martin Skyhawks Spread Result
Elo 97.6% 2.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 98.0% 2.0% - โœ“
Margin 98.1% 1.9% -21.8 โœ“ (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 89.0% 11.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.6% 3.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 87.2% 12.8% - โœ“

Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks -7 (58-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Canaan * 37 4-12 0-4 3-3 4 5 2 1 2 11 9 -
Jewuan Long * 31 5-10 0-3 1-2 1 1 1 3 2 11 5 -
Donte Poole * 27 1-7 0-3 4-5 3 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
Latreze Mushatt * 26 5-6 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 1 1 11 15 -
Edward Daniel * 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 3 1 2 8 -
Zay Jackson 21 3-6 2-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
Ivan Aska 16 3-7 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 2 2 8 4 -
Stacy Wilson 13 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 5 5 -
Brandon Garrett 12 1-2 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 -

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Liabo * 38 2-17 1-8 3-4 5 6 0 1 3 8 0 -
Dane Smith * 36 9-17 1-1 5-6 11 1 0 0 3 24 16 -
Omari Minor * 35 0-6 0-1 0-0 1 5 3 0 2 0 1 -
Jeremy Washington * 31 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 4 10 -
Myles Taylor * 23 6-10 0-0 2-4 7 0 2 2 3 14 12 -
Corderio Maclin 14 3-6 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
Troy King 12 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 2 1 -
Chris Richardson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
Gary Love 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter