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2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 79.2% 20.8% -
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% -
Margin 83.3% 16.7% -8.9 (25.1 off)
Pythagorean 83.3% 16.7% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Log Adjusted 96.5% 3.5% -

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks -34 (52-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kidd-Gilchrist * 30 2-7 0-1 3-6 5 3 0 1 0 7 9 -
M. Teague * 28 2-6 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 4 0 -
D. Lamb * 28 6-7 3-3 3-3 4 1 1 0 0 18 17 -
A. Davis * 28 9-10 0-0 4-5 8 1 2 8 0 22 31 -
T. Jones * 27 5-10 0-1 6-7 6 4 2 1 0 16 19 -
D. Miller 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 5 5 -
K. Wiltjer 18 5-14 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 12 3 -
E. Vargas 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Beckham 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ellington 25 1-9 1-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 3 -3 -
A. Gill * 35 3-8 2-2 2-6 3 2 0 0 2 10 5 -
M. Cooke * 29 2-9 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 3 2 5 2 -
D. Leonard * 28 7-16 4-8 1-3 1 0 0 0 1 19 3 -
D. Harris * 27 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 4 0 5 11 -
B. Williams 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
E. Smith 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Jackson 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Geathers 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
R. Slawson 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 2 0 1 3 -
B. Richardson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter