Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -7 (52-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Jordan * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Keith Clanton * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 22 | - |
| A.J. Rompza * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Josh Crittle * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Nyakundi * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| London Giles * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jeremiah Samarrippas * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Jones * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Player #51293 | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Leslee Smith | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Manuel | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rodney Clinkscales | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ricmonds Vilde | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter