Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -3 (72-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Miller * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Wil Peters * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 39 | - |
| M.J. Rhett * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Jay Harris * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kellen Thornton | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Kenny Moore | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Cyphers | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Chris Conner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bawa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Brister * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Marland Smith * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Leon Powell * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Tyler Stone * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | - |
| L. Nutt * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Corey Wilford | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Nino Johnson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Michael Porter | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter