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UNC Asheville Bulldogs 65
@
Liberty Flames 51
2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 82.8% 17.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 77.7% 22.3% - ✓
Margin 85.8% 14.2% -9.9 ✓ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 70.6% 29.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 91.1% 8.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 70.2% 29.8% - ✓

Actual: Liberty Flames -14 (51-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.P. Primm * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 12 19 -
Jeremy Atkinson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 3 1 0 0 10 24 -
Matt Dickey * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 13 18 -
Chris Stephenson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 6 0 0 2 6 21 -
Quinard Jackson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 1 1 9 21 -
Jaron Lane 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 15 18 -
Jon Nwannunu 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
Keith Hornsby 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sanders * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 0 0 2 4 14 -
T. Speaks * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 4 8 -
D. Minaya * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 13 16 -
A. Burrus * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 4 1 8 21 -
T. Gielo * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 5 8 -
J. Sanders 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 15 19 -
J. Vander Pol 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 2 6 -
K. Assinesi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
E. Layer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter