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2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Holy Cross Crusaders Lehigh Mountain Hawks Spread Result
Elo 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.3% 82.7% - โœ“
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 โœ“ (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.3% 76.7% - โœ“

Actual: Lehigh Mountain Hawks +24 (75-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Brown 28 3-10 2-7 2-4 0 1 1 1 2 10 1 -
R.J. Evans 25 3-7 0-1 1-1 3 2 1 0 2 7 4 -
Justin Burrell 25 1-8 0-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 2 -2 -
Dave Dudzinski 25 2-6 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 1 2 6 4 -
Mike Cavataio 24 5-10 1-3 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 12 7 -
Eric Obeysekere 19 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 1 2 -
Phil Beans 14 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
Dee Goens 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 -2 -
Taylor Abt 12 2-2 2-2 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 7 9 -
Jordan Stevens 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Malcolm Miller 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. McCollum 29 9-18 0-4 2-2 7 5 5 1 1 20 19 -
H. Greiner 29 4-5 2-3 5-7 2 1 0 1 1 15 13 -
M. McKnight 26 2-6 1-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 5 6 -
G. Knutson 22 3-7 0-1 6-6 6 1 1 0 3 12 10 -
J. Adams 21 2-4 2-3 2-2 8 0 1 0 0 8 13 -
J. Hamilton 19 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
A. D'Orazio 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
J. Maneri 16 1-2 0-0 2-3 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
C. Schaefer 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
B.J. Bailey 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
C. Goodman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Cvrkalj 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Staggers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Baltimore 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter