Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -1.0 | ✓ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -18 (39-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Downing * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Michael Bizoukas * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Keith Pickens * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Weems * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Jamar Gulley * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Christian Kirk | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Corey Copeland | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Rhine | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hawley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Rayvonte Rice * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jeremy Jeffers * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Karl Madison * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Clarke * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Judd Welfringer | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Kurt Alexander | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kraidon Woods | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| David Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cory Parker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Greg Whitaker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter