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2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model UL Monroe Warhawks Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.1 โœ“ (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 20.3% 79.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.4% 93.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“

Actual: Little Rock Trojans +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UL Monroe Warhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcelis Hansberry * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 22 25 -
Steve McClellan * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 1 8 18 -
R.J. McCray * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 3 4 9 -
Trey Lindsey * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 3 -
Trent Mackey * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Hugh Mingo 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 3 17 25 -
Charles Winborne 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 8 11 -
Fred Brown 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
Christian Bibi Ndongo 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
F. Ribeiro 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Andre Williams * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 2 0 2 21 31 -
C. Guy * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 14 21 -
Courtney Jackson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 4 12 -
Will Neighbour * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 6 14 -
Michael Javes * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 2 7 -
Ben Dillard 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 12 16 -
Marlon Louzeiro 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 2 9 -
Tramar Sutherland 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
Reggie Fondren 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Eric Lawton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Taggart Lockhart 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter