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2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Stony Brook Seawolves Albany Great Danes Spread Result
Elo 66.9% 33.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% - โœ“
Margin 52.1% 47.9% -0.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.9% 31.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.1% 48.9% - โœ“

Actual: Albany Great Danes -7 (69-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryan Dougher * 29 4-8 3-6 3-4 2 2 0 0 3 14 7 -
Al Rapier * 28 4-5 0-0 2-4 12 1 2 0 1 10 19 -
Tommy Brenton * 27 1-5 0-0 3-6 6 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
Dallis Joyner * 25 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 3 7 3 -
Dave Coley * 20 8-9 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 17 12 -
Leonard Hayes 27 2-7 2-5 3-4 2 4 0 0 0 9 8 -
Marcus Rouse 14 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Danny Carter 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Anthony Jackson 10 3-3 3-3 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 11 10 -
Eric McAlister 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Albany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Black * 37 6-15 2-9 1-3 0 2 2 0 2 15 2 -
Logan Aronhalt * 34 5-12 2-4 3-4 5 1 2 1 1 15 11 -
Gerardo Suero * 31 7-16 0-2 7-10 7 3 0 0 2 21 13 -
Blake Metcalf * 30 3-4 0-0 1-3 6 1 0 0 0 7 10 -
Luke Devlin * 21 3-6 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
John Puk 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
Ralph Watts 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jayson Guerrier 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jacob Iati 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter