Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.4% | 42.6% | -1.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +3 (91-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Gabriel * | 34 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Allen Payne * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Frankie Sullivan * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Rob Chubb * | 29 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Josh Wallace * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Varez Ward | 29 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 9-12 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Adrian Forbes | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chris Denson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Noel Johnson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Willy Kouassi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Smith | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rodney Hood * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Brian Bryant * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Dee Bost * | 24 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 3-7 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 23 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 6-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Steele | 25 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Shaun Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Roquez Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter