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2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 72.2% 27.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 60.2% 39.8% - โœ—
Margin 52.5% 47.5% -0.6 โœ— (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 59.1% 40.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 71.4% 28.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% - โœ—

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +6 (60-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Preston Medlin * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 5 13 13 -
Morgan Grim * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 13 21 -
Brockeith Pane * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 6 11 12 -
Danny Berger * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 8 10 -
Kyisean Reed * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 5 8 -
Ben Clifford 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 7 -
Mitch Bruneel 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
E.J. Farris 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
Jordan Stone 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Olekaibe * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 26 32 -
Tyler Johnson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 3 0 2 12 23 -
Steven Shepp * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 4 0 0 0 6 -
Jerry Brown * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 0 0 14 25 -
Jonathan Wills * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 6 -
Kevin Foster 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 4 11 -
Garrett Johnson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter