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South Alabama Jaguars 66
@
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 75
2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model South Alabama Jaguars Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% - ✓
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 ✓ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 42.2% 57.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% - ✓

Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rubit * 37 7-12 0-0 6-9 8 2 0 0 2 20 16 -
M. Ammons * 37 3-11 1-2 0-1 5 2 3 0 2 7 4 -
F. Goldstein * 33 4-12 3-7 0-0 3 5 2 0 1 11 8 -
A. Lundy * 23 6-9 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 15 8 -
T. Anderson 34 2-8 1-1 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 5 3 -
J. Carter 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
W. Wright 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Jones 3 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Gordon * 33 2-10 0-2 0-2 6 1 0 1 0 4 2 -
Jamal Crook * 33 9-10 1-1 5-5 2 6 2 0 3 24 21 -
Teeng Akol * 27 6-9 1-1 0-0 5 1 1 4 2 13 13 -
Vinny Zollo * 23 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
T.J. Price * 12 4-5 3-4 0-1 3 2 3 0 1 11 13 -
George Fant 28 5-6 0-0 2-3 8 0 0 0 1 12 13 -
Kahlil McDonald 23 1-6 1-4 3-4 2 0 0 0 5 6 -3 -
Nigel Snipes 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
O'Karo Akamune 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

* = starter