Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -16 (49-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Drew Gordon * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 24 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Phillip McDonald | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Chad Adams | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Dominique Dunning | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Drmic * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kenny Buckner * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Derrick Marks * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Westly Perryman * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Drew Wiley | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Tre Nichols | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Joe Hanstad | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Watkins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jarrell Crayton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter