Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -16 (49-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| D. Gordon * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 24 | - |
| T. Snell * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| P. McDonald | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Walker | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Fenton | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Adams | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Dunning | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Drmic * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| K. Buckner * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - |
| D. Marks * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| W. Perryman * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| T. Bropleh * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Wiley | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| T. Nichols | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Hanstad | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Watkins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Crayton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter