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Virginia Cavaliers 55
@
Florida State Seminoles 58
2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 85.2% 14.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% - ✓
Margin 54.9% 45.1% -1.1 ✗ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - ✓
Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.1% 62.9% - ✓

Actual: Florida State Seminoles +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Zeglinski * 37 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 5 2 -
J. Evans * 36 4-7 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 0 4 8 5 -
J. Harris * 33 5-12 3-8 3-4 5 2 1 0 3 16 9 -
M. Scott * 32 6-8 0-1 4-4 11 0 1 0 7 16 13 -
A. Mitchell * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 1 1 0 7 -
M. Brogdon 22 4-9 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 10 1 -
D. Atkins 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
P. Jesperson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deividas Dulkys * 33 2-5 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 5 6 -1 -
Michael Snaer * 30 3-9 2-4 0-1 3 1 2 2 5 8 2 -
Luke Loucks * 25 2-6 0-1 2-4 2 1 2 0 3 6 2 -
Bernard James * 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 4 6 -
Xavier Gibson * 21 4-6 0-1 2-3 5 1 0 2 0 10 12 -
Okaro White 28 5-6 1-1 2-4 5 0 1 0 2 13 11 -
Ian Miller 18 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 5 0 -
Jeff Peterson 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 4 5 -
Jon Kreft 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter