Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.1% | 91.9% | +13.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +18 (67-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Kamryn Williams * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Max Yon | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Chris Carter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Adam Brakeville | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Colt Barnhill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Eikmeier * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 44 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Dorian Green * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Will Bell * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Dwight Smith | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Cody Mann | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chad Calcaterra | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter