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2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies UC Riverside Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.0% 83.0% - โœ“
Margin 14.5% 85.5% +9.7 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.7% 80.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“

Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +5 (59-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Ritchart * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 0 0 21 31 -
Eddie Miller * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 5 9 -
Harrison DuPont * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 5 9 13 -
Tyrell Corbin * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 7 8 -
J.T. Adenrele * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 2 1 -
Tyler Les 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 8 14 -
Paolo Mancasola 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 0 6 -
Alex Tiffin 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 2 1 -

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kareem Nitoto * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 6 12 -
B.J. Shearry * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 3 0 3 17 27 -
Austin Quick * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 3 0 4 4 11 -
Robert Smith * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 11 15 -
Kevin Bradshaw * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 2 1 12 21 -
Elliott Berry 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 6 12 -
Daymond Cowlah 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
John Gilliam 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter