Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +11.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Langford | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Green * | 37 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | - |
| A. Tanksley * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| S. Gillette * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. Mason * | 27 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | - |
| M. Lemmons * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Jordan | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Turner | 11 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Martin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Sanders * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 19 | - |
| D. Wade * | 36 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 24 | - |
| M. Barrow * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Needham * | 33 | 11-16 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 18 | - |
| R. Olander * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Matthews | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Nickerson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Crawford | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Fields | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter