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2012-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 72.9% 27.1% - โœ“
Margin 72.3% 27.7% -5.3 โœ“ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 91.9% 8.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.4% 3.6% - โœ“

Actual: Brown Bears -14 (63-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Bray * 28 3-5 1-2 0-0 7 3 1 0 2 7 11 -
Ian Hummer * 27 4-11 1-3 0-0 11 5 1 1 3 9 13 -
Patrick Saunders * 26 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 4 -
Doug Davis * 25 5-9 2-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 12 9 -
Mack Darrow * 18 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 7 7 -
Ben Hazel 22 4-7 4-7 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 12 6 -
Denton Koon 20 3-6 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 8 5 -
Brendan Connolly 19 5-7 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 0 4 11 7 -
Clay Wilson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Chris Clement 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
John Comfort 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bobby Garbade 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jimmy Sherburne 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Brian Fabrizius 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Daniel Edwards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean McGonagill * 36 8-19 1-7 0-2 5 6 0 0 1 17 8 -
Matt Sullivan * 33 2-3 2-2 4-5 2 0 3 0 1 10 11 -
Stephen Albrecht * 29 2-10 2-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 6 2 -
Andrew McCarthy * 27 3-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 1 3 8 6 -
Dockery Walker * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
Tyler Ponticelli 31 6-9 0-0 1-7 6 2 1 0 2 13 11 -
Tellef Lundevall 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Josh Biber 9 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Jon Schmidt 6 0-0 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 1 0 1 4 -

* = starter