Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego Toreros | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +18.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +11 (84-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Rancifer * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Johnny Dee * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Dennis Kramer * | 25 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Christopher Anderson * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Simi Fajemisin * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chris Manresa | 29 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Darian Norris | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | - |
| John Sinis | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cameron Miles | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dellavedova * | 40 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| R. Jones * | 38 | 12-23 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 17 | - |
| S. Holt * | 34 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 8-10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 23 | - |
| J. Page * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| B. Waldow * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Steindl | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Young | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Walker II | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Levesque | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter