Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +4 (93-89). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 31 | 8-20 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Chris Singleton * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 19 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jan Vesely * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Brian Cook | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Collison * | 35 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 34 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 20 | - |
| David West * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Paul George * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| George Hill * | 20 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter