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2012-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 5.4% 94.6% +12.8 ✓ (5.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 20.9% 79.1% - ✓
Margin 7.4% 92.6% +13.9 ✓ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 30.0% 70.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 12.0% 88.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 22.1% 77.9% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +18 (103-85). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alonzo Gee * 36 4-12 3-4 2-2 9 3 1 0 2 13 12 -
Antawn Jamison * 33 5-14 0-3 3-4 6 1 0 0 0 13 6 -
Kyrie Irving * 32 4-13 3-7 1-2 4 7 2 1 5 12 8 -
Anthony Parker * 29 5-7 2-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 14 12 -
Tristan Thompson * 27 3-3 0-0 3-6 6 0 0 0 2 9 10 -
Samardo Samuels * 20 2-2 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 2 2 4 8 -
Manny Harris * 18 3-8 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 1 3 10 4 -
Donald Sloan * 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 2 3 -
Luke Walton * 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 3 3 -
Omri Casspi * 11 0-5 0-3 5-6 2 1 1 0 0 5 4 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jodie Meeks * 36 11-16 7-10 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 31 18 -
Jrue Holiday * 35 9-19 1-3 0-0 3 6 3 1 3 19 10 -
Evan Turner * 31 6-13 0-1 0-0 7 2 2 2 0 12 12 -
Elton Brand * 31 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 8 10 -
Thaddeus Young * 26 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 6 5 -
Lou Williams * 24 5-14 1-4 0-1 7 7 1 0 2 11 10 -
Spencer Hawes * 24 5-9 0-0 0-0 8 5 0 0 2 10 12 -
Sam Young * 15 1-4 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 4 2 -
Tony Battie * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Lavoy Allen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Nikola Vučević 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Craig Brackins 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter