Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | -0.3 | ✗ (3.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | +5.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +3 (111-108). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 38 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 33 | - |
| John Salmons * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 32 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Donte Greene * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Terrence Williams | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Lee * | 41 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 41 | 10-20 | 4-9 | 7-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Charles Jenkins * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 17 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Tyler * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Keith Benson * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mickell Gladness | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter