Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +7 (103-96). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 40 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 35 | 5-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 30 | 2-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 26 | 3-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nolan Smith * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kurt Thomas | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bynum * | 37 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 36 | 5-17 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 35 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 29 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Troy Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter