Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeromie Hill | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Kannon Burrage | 29 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Michael Hale | 27 | 2-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -5 | - |
| Melvin Johnson | 22 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Franklin | 21 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Sei Paye | 20 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Alex Vouyoukas | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Iggy Nujic | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Sims | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyler Wood | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Reed | 38 | 8-20 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Bo Ingram | 27 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Shaquille White-Miller | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Butler | 25 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Cameron Catlett | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Edwards | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Karol Gruszecki | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Reves | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Stuart Lagerson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Bradley Gay | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter