Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +2 (58-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Drmic * | 35 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Derrick Marks * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Westly Perryman * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Buckner * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tre Nichols | 26 | 6-16 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Drew Wiley | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Watkins | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Joe Hanstad | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jarrell Crayton | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tapley * | 38 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| X. Thames * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| D. Stephens | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Franklin | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Williams | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| G. Green | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter