Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | -6.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -15 (53-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Marshall * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Reggie Bullock * | 33 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| John Henson * | 32 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 27 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 4-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Watts | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stilman White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Desmond Hubert | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| David Dupont | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Crouch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Stewart Cooper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis McKie * | 36 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C.J. Harris * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Nikita Mescheriakov * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Ty Walker * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tony Chennault * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Chase Fischer | 22 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Daniel Green | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Carson Desrosiers | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Keenan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brooks Godwin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Ingle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter