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2012-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% +5.7 ✗ (10.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 61.1% 38.9% - ✓
Margin 51.9% 48.1% -0.4 ✓ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 61.1% 38.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 61.1% 38.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 50.7% 49.3% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -5 (91-96). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 43 3-11 2-5 0-0 2 4 1 1 2 8 3 -
Derrick Rose * 41 12-23 4-7 7-9 4 8 1 1 3 35 23 -
Joakim Noah * 38 4-10 0-0 3-4 18 4 0 0 3 11 20 -
Carlos Boozer * 30 6-12 0-0 1-1 7 1 0 0 1 13 8 -
Richard Hamilton * 18 4-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
C.J. Watson 20 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 9 5 -
Taj Gibson 16 1-6 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
Ronnie Brewer 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 6 10 -
Omer Asik 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
Kyle Korver 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Iguodala * 40 6-15 1-4 1-2 6 6 0 0 1 14 10 -
Jrue Holiday * 39 8-18 0-1 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 16 7 -
Elton Brand * 33 6-12 0-0 2-2 13 5 1 2 2 14 21 -
Jodie Meeks * 15 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Lavoy Allen * 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
Thaddeus Young 27 6-13 0-0 5-7 9 1 0 0 0 17 14 -
Lou Williams 26 0-7 0-2 6-6 3 7 1 1 0 6 11 -
Evan Turner 23 3-9 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 6 2 -
Nikola Vučević 21 7-13 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 14 10 -

* = starter