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Austin Peay Governors 57
@
Tennessee State Tigers 77
2012-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Tennessee State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.0% 77.0% - ✓
Margin 27.7% 72.3% +5.3 ✓ (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.7% 64.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.2% 62.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% - ✓

Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +20 (77-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Edmondson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 2 8 15 -
M. Baker * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 14 19 -
J. Fraley * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 21 28 -
J. Clyburn * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
J. Terry * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Blake 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 7 11 -
W. Triggs 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Williams 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Greer 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
H. Lawrence 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 2 2 -
C. Freeman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Hasse 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
K. Covington 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Harms 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wil Peters * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 0 0 2 11 19 -
Robert Covington * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 4 1 1 13 25 -
Patrick Miller * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 8 15 -
M.J. Rhett * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 8 17 -
Jay Harris * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Kellen Thornton 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 15 21 -
Kenny Moore 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 9 15 -
Jordan Cyphers 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 9 10 -
Chris Conner 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Michael Green 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Bawa 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kharon Butcher 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tashon Fredrick 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter