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2012-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Delaware State Hornets North Carolina A&T Aggies Spread Result
Elo 64.9% 35.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.2% 37.8% - โœ“
Margin 57.7% 42.3% -1.7 โœ“ (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 64.1% 35.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.5% 25.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.5% 25.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina A&T Aggies -15 (41-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Delaware State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tahj Tate 39 6-17 1-6 2-3 5 4 3 0 2 15 8 -
Casey Walker 39 4-14 2-9 0-0 6 0 1 2 2 10 3 -
Jay Threatt 36 1-6 1-3 6-6 4 7 1 0 4 9 11 -
Marques Oliver 27 2-3 0-0 2-4 7 1 0 4 1 6 14 -
Kendall Gray 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 5 0 2 11 -
Tyshawn Bell 17 4-9 4-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 12 7 -
Amere May 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
Jordan Lawson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jabari Joyner 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina A&T Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Adrian Powell 32 6-12 1-4 4-4 8 0 0 0 2 17 11 -
Austin Witter 29 1-3 0-2 1-2 7 1 1 2 3 3 8 -
Nic Simpson 26 1-9 1-6 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 4 -4 -
Marc Hill 24 0-9 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Lawrence Smith 22 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 3 6 -
Jeremy Underwood 21 1-7 0-2 1-2 1 0 2 0 3 3 -4 -
R.J. Buck 18 2-5 0-0 2-5 4 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
Waylan Siverand 10 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
DaMetrius Upchurch 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jared Williams 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jean Louisme 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter