Model Predictions
| Model | Jackson State Tigers | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +4 (73-69). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Williams | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Kelsey Howard | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Derrell Taylor | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Sydney Coleman | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Willie Readus | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Keeslee Stewart | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jonathan Lewis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Davon Jones | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Raymond Gregory | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Armstrong | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savalance Townsend | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Mitchell Anderson | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 39 | - |
| Lazabian Jackson | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Daniel Broughton | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Rontrell Bailey | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Jones | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Clay Johnson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Lavoris Weathers | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Marcel Mosley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaylon Floyd | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Demetrious Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Allen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter