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2012-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Spread Result
Elo 74.9% 25.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.8% 34.2% - โœ“
Margin 59.5% 40.5% -2.1 โœ“ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.1% 22.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.3% 22.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% - โœ“

Actual: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles -9 (66-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Langston Hall * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 20 27 -
Bud Thomas * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 2 1 3 5 15 -
Justin Cecil * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 7 10 -
Jake Gollon * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 3 0 2 10 18 -
Daniel Coursey * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 10 14 -
Chris Smith 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 10 14 -
Monty Brown 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
Travis Smith 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 8 8 -
Paul Larsen 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
Shaquille Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T.J. Hallice 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brett Comer * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 9 4 0 5 8 18 -
Sherwood Brown * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 1 0 0 3 15 26 -
Chase Fieler * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 8 12 -
Bernard Thompson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 1 1 7 15 -
Eddie Murray * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 12 14 -
Dante Holmes 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
Filip Cvjeticanin 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
Christophe Varidel 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
Kevin Cantinol 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter