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2012-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 57.0% 43.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% - โœ“
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 โœ“ (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.4% 89.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.2% 89.8% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +15 (64-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Burke * 39 5-11 3-6 0-0 1 5 2 0 5 13 5 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 38 5-12 2-7 3-4 5 3 1 1 2 15 11 -
Zack Novak * 33 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Stu Douglass * 31 3-9 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 7 -1 -
Jordan Morgan * 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
Evan Smotrycz 18 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
Blake McLimans 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Matt Vogrich 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Colton Christian 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
William Buford * 39 5-13 1-5 1-1 5 2 1 0 6 12 1 -
Aaron Craft * 36 3-4 1-1 0-1 2 4 2 1 2 7 10 -
Deshaun Thomas * 35 4-9 1-5 3-4 5 1 0 0 1 12 8 -
L. Smith Jr. * 33 6-12 0-2 5-5 12 1 0 0 0 17 18 -
Jared Sullinger * 28 5-11 0-1 3-3 5 1 1 1 1 13 9 -
Evan Ravenel 14 0-2 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Sam Thompson 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Shannon Scott 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 3 -
J.D. Weatherspoon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter