🐻⬇️🏀

Notre Dame Fighting Irish 50
@
UConn Huskies 48
2012-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 2.5% 97.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% - ✗
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.6 ✗ (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - ✗
Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 59.9% 40.1% - ✓

Actual: UConn Huskies -2 (48-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scott Martin * 40 4-8 2-5 0-0 7 3 1 0 3 10 10 -
Jerian Grant * 38 2-9 1-4 6-8 5 6 3 1 1 11 16 -
Eric Atkins * 38 5-12 2-6 1-2 1 3 0 0 0 13 5 -
Jack Cooley * 36 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 1 8 10 -
Pat Connaughton * 28 2-8 2-5 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
Alex Dragicevich 11 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Tom Knight 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joey Brooks 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 39 7-14 0-0 1-2 11 0 2 4 2 15 16 -
Jeremy Lamb * 38 6-9 3-5 1-2 5 2 1 0 4 16 11 -
Shabazz Napier * 35 0-7 0-4 4-4 1 4 1 0 1 4 2 -
Alex Oriakhi * 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
DeAndre Daniels * 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Ryan Boatright 30 3-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 6 5 -
Roscoe Smith 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 -
Niels Giffey 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Tyler Olander 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter