Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Bryant Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.6% | 20.4% | -10.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | -2.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bryant Bulldogs -10 (68-78). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Steele * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Austin Tillotson * | 30 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Dion Nesmith * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Ed Waite * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Phil Wait * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Ware | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Nicholas | 18 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Mike Myers Keitt | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Will Campbell | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
Bryant Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dobbs * | 39 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 9-11 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Corey Maynard * | 38 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Alex Francis * | 33 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Ben Altit * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Daniel Calandrillo * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Troy Robinson | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Raphael Jordan | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Claybrin McMath | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Erick Smith | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter