๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2012-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Furman Paladins The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 56.2% 43.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 71.7% 28.3% - โœ“
Margin 69.9% 30.1% -4.6 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 69.9% 30.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 79.5% 20.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 79.7% 20.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -9 (58-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Furman Paladins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Reddick * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 0 0 11 21 -
B. Austin * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 9 13 -
B. Sebirumbi * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 10 17 -
J. Loyd * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 7 14 -
C. Toler * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
B. Barnes 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 8 12 -
C. Reddick 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 12 12 -
D. Brown 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 5 7 -
B. Irwin 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 2 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Groselle * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 2 2 24 36 -
Marshall Harris * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 3 2 4 -
DeVontae Wright * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 7 9 -
Cosmo Morabbi * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 1 3 -
C.J. Bray * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
Lawrence Miller 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 6 9 -
Bo Holston 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 9 9 -
Ashton Moore 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 5 5 -
Jordan Robertson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter