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2012-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Charleston Southern Buccaneers Presbyterian Blue Hose Spread Result
Elo 50.4% 49.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% - โœ“
Margin 57.2% 42.8% -1.6 โœ“ (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 63.9% 36.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“

Actual: Presbyterian Blue Hose -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charleston Southern Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arlon Harper * 36 4-9 3-5 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 13 7 -
Saah Nimley * 34 4-12 1-6 7-8 2 3 1 1 0 16 11 -
Mathiang Muo * 34 4-7 4-6 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 14 11 -
Kelvin Martin * 27 6-9 0-0 2-4 4 1 2 2 2 14 12 -
Cedrick Bowen * 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
Paul Gombwer 23 2-3 0-0 5-5 7 0 1 0 0 9 14 -
Jeremy Sexton 19 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
Sheldon Strickland 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
Chris Grier 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Presbyterian Blue Hose

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pierre Miller * 36 2-10 1-6 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 5 4 -
Al'lonzo Coleman * 33 9-13 0-0 7-11 4 0 1 1 0 25 18 -
Josh Johnson * 31 3-7 3-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 9 4 -
Khalid Mutakabbir * 31 4-9 0-2 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 8 3 -
Joshua Clyburn * 18 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Eric Washington 28 2-7 1-5 3-5 2 1 0 0 3 8 1 -
Ryan McTavish 17 1-2 1-1 2-3 1 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
Jay Reynolds 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter