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2012-01-28

Model Predictions

Model SE Louisiana Lions Northwestern State Demons Spread Result
Elo 31.9% 68.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% - โœ“
Margin 16.2% 83.8% +9.1 โœ“ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 33.8% 66.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 15.9% 84.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern State Demons +17 (55-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SE Louisiana Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Campbell * 32 1-8 0-2 0-0 4 1 3 0 6 2 -4 -
Daron Populist * 31 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 6 0 -
DeShawn Patterson * 29 3-7 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 7 5 -
Elgin Bailey * 28 5-13 0-0 2-4 8 1 1 1 3 12 7 -
Antonnio Benton * 24 2-8 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 1 4 5 1 -
Todd Nelson 21 0-4 0-2 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Jan Petrovcic 20 1-4 0-0 0-3 11 1 0 1 3 2 8 -
Roosevelt Johnson 12 2-8 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
Quin Cooper 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shamir Davis * 30 3-9 1-1 2-2 6 1 1 0 2 9 6 -
William Mosley * 29 6-10 0-0 2-7 12 2 3 6 0 14 27 -
Patrick Robinson * 24 2-4 0-2 3-4 6 1 1 0 2 7 9 -
Louis Ellis * 22 1-8 0-4 1-2 4 1 1 1 2 3 0 -
Gary Roberson * 16 3-9 1-3 0-2 2 1 1 0 2 7 0 -
James Hulbin 21 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
O.J. Evans 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 2 4 5 -
Gary Stewart 15 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 2 1 1 3 5 -
Tyler Washington 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 -
John Brisco 10 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 1 2 0 0 3 4 -
Marvin Frazier 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
David Ulak 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter