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2012-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.3% 29.7% - โœ“
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 78.6% 21.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.6% 44.4% - โœ“

Actual: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -2 (63-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Story * 37 7-11 2-6 0-0 7 2 1 1 4 16 12 -
J. Evans, Jr. * 35 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 2 3 -
O. Czyz * 34 7-16 0-1 10-12 10 0 0 0 6 24 12 -
D. Hunt * 34 3-7 0-0 3-4 11 1 0 2 3 9 13 -
D. Burton * 24 3-7 2-4 4-6 0 0 0 0 1 12 4 -
J. Finn 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 3 -
P. Nyeko 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 1 2 -
D. Elliott 8 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
K. Fuetsch 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Burris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Panzer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Gaskins * 34 4-8 3-5 0-0 6 2 2 0 5 11 8 -
Brandon Gibson * 26 1-10 0-4 7-11 8 1 0 0 1 9 7 -
K. McNeail * 24 4-11 2-7 3-4 3 1 1 0 1 13 6 -
Cordarius Johnson * 22 2-8 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 5 -1 -
J.L. Lewis * 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
Raheem Appleby 32 5-13 1-4 6-7 2 1 2 0 0 17 9 -
Speedy Smith 21 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Romario Souza 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
Michale Kyser 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 0 3 6 -
Lonnie Smith 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter