Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Appalachian State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers +15 (81-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Isenbarger * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Austin Hamilton * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Sebastian Koch * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Lucas Troutman * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Ryley Beaumont * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Drew Spradlin | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Egheosa Edomwonyi | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Winters | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Josh Bonney | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brett Ervin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kevin Blake | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaal Trice * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Nathan Healy * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Michael Neal * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Andre Williamson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Tab Hamilton * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Omar Carter | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 33 | - |
| G.J. Vilarino | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Isaac Butts | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Brian Okam | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mitch Woods | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter