Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.9% | 21.1% | -7.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -2 (63-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Moser * | 38 | 10-17 | 2-6 | 5-9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Oscar Bellfield * | 38 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Marshall * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Chace Stanback * | 36 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brice Massamba * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kendall Wallace | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 43 | 9-19 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 40 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 40 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 7-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kamryn Williams * | 39 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chris Carter | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chase Kammerer | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Max Yon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter