Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.1% | 18.9% | -8.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -3 (79-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Reed III * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 19 | - |
| J. Reves * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| B. Ingram * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| S. White-Miller * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 14 | - |
| K. Butler * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| B. Gay | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| B. Edwards | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| C. Catlett | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Gruszecki | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Lagerson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vonn Jones * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Wesley Davis * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Brooks Ybarra * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Reid Koenen * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Matt Staff * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Eddie Rios | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| John Bowman | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Nick Hinton | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Dante Bachus | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Kirschke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter