Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards -8 (61-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Hinkle * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Daniel Munoz * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Troy Brewer * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| John Schoof * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Blake Jolivette | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Riley Grafft | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Simon McCormack | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Wayne Simon | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Joe Hill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Fisher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Johnson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 24 | - |
| Rob Delaney * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jim Mower * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Willen * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Dan Trist * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Levi Giese | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Joey Ptasinski | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Seth Hinrichs | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nick Petkovich | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J.D. Pelham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter