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2012-01-28

Model Predictions

Model UNC Wilmington Seahawks Towson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 77.9% 22.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 80.3% 19.7% - โœ—
Margin 82.9% 17.1% -8.7 โœ— (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 88.5% 11.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 92.5% 7.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 92.6% 7.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 68.5% 31.5% - โœ—

Actual: Towson Tigers +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Rendleman * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 3 16 24 -
Adam Smith * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 7 13 -
Donte Morales * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 17 20 -
Tanner Milson * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 3 7 -
Cedrick Williams * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
K.K. Simmons 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 1 3 -
Matt Wilson 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 6 14 -
Trevor Deloach 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 5 8 -
Nate Anderson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 -

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deon Jones * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 15 22 -
Marcus Damas * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 4 18 23 -
Kris Walden * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 4 1 3 4 9 -
Erique Gumbs * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 3 11 17 -
Jervon Pressley * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 4 7 -
Robert Nwankwo 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 2 3 3 12 26 -
Will Adams 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
Alex Giergen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jamel Flash 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter