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2012-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders Holy Cross Crusaders Spread Result
Elo 11.8% 88.2% +12.9 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 18.6% 81.4% - โœ“
Margin 9.1% 90.9% +12.7 โœ“ (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.7% 91.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.9% 75.1% - โœ“

Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders +16 (76-60). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Venezia * 39 3-10 3-9 4-4 4 1 0 0 0 13 8 -
Mitch Rolls * 37 4-14 3-8 3-4 3 2 1 2 2 14 6 -
Brandon James * 22 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 0 5 -
Pat Moore * 14 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
Nick Pascale * 12 3-5 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 1 0 7 8 -
Sterling Melville 23 2-5 0-0 0-1 5 3 0 1 0 4 8 -
John Brandenburg 16 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
Yaw Gyawu 15 6-8 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 12 5 -
Luke Roh 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
Matt McMullen 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 6 -

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Phil Beans * 29 7-12 1-2 1-2 5 1 0 2 1 16 11 -
R.J. Evans * 28 5-7 0-0 1-2 7 4 1 0 0 11 16 -
Devin Brown * 28 8-15 5-9 6-7 3 2 0 0 0 27 17 -
Justin Burrell * 25 1-7 0-2 1-2 0 6 1 0 0 3 3 -
Dave Dudzinski * 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
Mike Cavataio 21 0-3 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Eric Obeysekere 21 0-1 0-0 3-4 11 1 0 1 1 3 14 -
Dee Goens 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 3 5 -
Jordan Stevens 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Malcolm Miller 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 2 -
Taylor Abt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Patrick Kerrigan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Charlie Mills 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter